Caen are on the brink following a heavy 4-0 defeat away at Lyon, though if they could have handpicked any opponent to rest their chances of survival on, then it would have been a Bordeaux side in absolute freefall.
The visitors have won just once in their last 13 outings and are currently mired in a six-game losing streak, while since the start of last season they’ve lost two of three winless head-to-head meetings with Caen and failed to register a single goal across these matches.
Fabien Mercadal’s charges also have further reason for encouragement by their own upturn in form, going W3-D1-L1 over their last five fixtures, including wins against top-half outfits Reims and Nice.
Bordeaux have nothing to play for and will just be glad to see the back of this season, while they’ve picked up the joint-fewest points on the road this term, scoring just nine goals from 18 games.
Unfortunately for Caen, a win may not be enough as they also need 17th-placed Amiens to at the very least drop points in their final game, which is at home to rock-bottom Guingamp.
Having finished 15th last term, it’s been an excellent season for Strasbourg as their survival prospects have never been in doubt, while they also claimed silverware as they lifted the Coupe de la Ligue at the end of March.
However, with their seasons’ ambitions complete, they’ve taken their foot off the gas and are winless in seven matches now, losing their last two outings. Nantes may have drawn their last two games, but these were both away at top-half outfits and prior to that, they’d won five on the trot including impressive victories over PSG, Lyon and Marseille.
That leaves them as one of the form teams in the division, with only Saint-Etienne picking up more points across the last six rounds of fixtures, while only second-placed Lille have taken anything off them in their last six on home turf.
Neither side has anything riding on this game, but PSG appear set to finish the season in style having recovered from a poor spell with victories in their last two, including a 4-0 thumping of Dijon last weekend.
David Guion’s side may have also picked up maximum points away at Bordeaux, but as previously mentioned, Paulo Sousa’s team are in woeful form and a narrow 1-0 success does little to convince us of Reims’ credentials.
Prior to that result, the hosts had lost four of seven winless outings, conceding at least three times in three of these, and if there’s anyone in Ligue 1 capable of administering another drubbing it’s the Parisians.
Indeed, each of the last two head-to-head meetings have finished 4-1 to the champions and, regardless of the margins, we fully expect Thomas Tuchel’s men to take their points tally to 94 – one better than last seasons’ total.
*all odds are subject to change